Special Session 87: Large Population Optimization, Stochastic Filtering and Mathematical Finance

Synchronous Stability Analysis of Power Systems Under Stochastic Disturbances
Kaihua Xi
Shandong University
Peoples Rep of China
Co-Author(s):    
Abstract:
For the enhancement of the transient stability of power systems, the key is to define a quantitative optimization formulation with system parameters as decision variables. In this paper, we model the disturbances by Gaussian noise and define a metric named Critical Escape Probability (CREP) based on the invariant probability measure of a linearised stochastic processes. CREP characterizes the probability of the state escaping from a critical set. CREP involves all the system parameters and reflects the size of the basin of attraction of the nonlinear systems. An optimization framework that minimizes CREP with the system parameters as decision variables is presented. Simulations show that the mean of the first hitting time when the state hits the boundary of the critical set, that is often used to describe the stability of nonlinear systems, is dramatically increased by minimizing CREP. This indicates that the transient stability of the system is effectively enhanced. It also shown that suppressing the state fluctuations only is insufficient for enhancing the transient stability. This new metric opens a new avenue for the transient stability analysis of future power systems integrated with large amounts of renewable energy.