Special Session 118: Recent advances in mathematical finance

An optimal stopping problem for variable annuities
Alessandro Milazzo
University of Turin
Italy
Co-Author(s):    T. De Angelis and G. Stabile.
Abstract:
Variable annuities are life-insurance contracts designed to meet long-term investment goals. Such contracts provide several financial guarantees to the policyholder. A minimum rate is guaranteed by the insurer in order to protect the policyholder`s capital against market downturns. Moreover, the policyholder has the right to early terminate the contract (early surrender) and to receive the account value. In general, a penalty, which decreases in time, is applied by the insurer in case of early surrender. We provide a theoretical analysis of variable annuities with a focus on the holder`s right to an early termination of the contract. We obtain a rigorous pricing formula and the optimal exercise boundary for the surrender option. We also illustrate our theoretical results with extensive numerical experiments. The pricing problem is formulated as an optimal stopping problem with a time-dependent payoff, which is discontinuous at the maturity of the contract. This structure leads to non-monotone optimal stopping boundaries, which we prove nevertheless to be continuous. Because of this lack of monotonicity, we cannot use classical methods from optimal stopping theory and, thus, we contribute a new methodology for non-monotone stopping boundaries.